Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.250133 0.287508 0.327663 0.373905 0.425577 0.481426 0.546243
2026-01-11 0.191070 0.241683 0.300431 0.373203 0.460434 0.561121 0.685581
2026-01-18 0.148113 0.205359 0.276841 0.371539 0.492446 0.640299 0.833257
2026-01-25 0.115924 0.175684 0.255694 0.368547 0.521170 0.717693 0.986681
2026-02-01 0.092161 0.152206 0.238117 0.366577 0.549676 0.796593 1.149053
2026-02-08 0.074050 0.132930 0.222697 0.364466 0.576530 0.874706 1.316561
2026-02-15 0.059508 0.115957 0.207486 0.359750 0.598020 0.946171 1.479912
2026-02-22 0.050341 0.105812 0.200944 0.366735 0.636676 1.044480 1.688164
2026-03-01 0.041231 0.093704 0.188975 0.362907 0.657387 1.116922 1.862887
2026-03-08 0.034563 0.084653 0.180635 0.363602 0.684666 1.200609 2.059458
2026-03-15 0.028365 0.075054 0.169568 0.357707 0.699735 1.265355 2.230097
2026-03-22 0.025377 0.071654 0.169703 0.371916 0.750181 1.390239 2.503228
2026-03-29 0.022546 0.068057 0.169050 0.384851 0.800122 1.518797 2.792232
2026-04-05 0.019261 0.062529 0.163446 0.387356 0.831220 1.617575 3.038274
2026-04-12 0.016344 0.057151 0.157220 0.387696 0.858078 1.710588 3.279966
2026-04-19 0.013769 0.051954 0.150450 0.385900 0.880409 1.796762 3.514599
2026-04-26 0.011644 0.047406 0.144370 0.384682 0.903498 1.885440 3.758157
2026-05-03 0.009838 0.043255 0.138479 0.383010 0.925268 1.972726 4.003587
2026-05-10 0.008206 0.039100 0.131755 0.378423 0.940338 2.048051 4.231078
2026-05-17 0.007252 0.037018 0.130225 0.385931 0.981508 2.175284 4.559400
2026-05-24 0.006079 0.033646 0.124394 0.382069 0.997533 2.254508 4.802499
2026-05-31 0.005214 0.031156 0.120635 0.382882 1.023817 2.355218 5.090518
2026-06-07 0.004317 0.028118 0.114552 0.376777 1.033751 2.423540 5.319947